Tainan Existing-Home Prices Fall 4.88% in Q3, the Most Among the Six Special Municipalities, While Average Residential High-Rise Prices Rise Year on Year for 5 Straight Months
Tainan's home price figures appear contradictory: existing-home prices in the Sinyi Housing Price Index have fallen markedly, while the average residential high-rise price in the city's official statistics has risen year on year for consecutive months. The two measure different things.
- The Sinyi Housing Price Index shows that Tainan's existing-home prices fell 4.88% quarter on quarter in Q3 2026, the largest drop among the six special municipalities and Hsinchu County and City.
- The average residential high-rise price in Tainan's official statistics has risen year on year for 5 consecutive months since April 2026.
- Zhang Rong, associate director of the Sinyi Realty Tainan Minsheng branch, said that excluding extreme cases, the room to negotiate on existing homes is about 5%~10%.
The Sinyi Housing Price Index shows that the national existing-home price index stood at 168.64 in Q3 2026, down 0.08% from the previous quarter and down 0.05% from a year earlier. Tainan's decline was markedly larger, at 4.88% quarter on quarter and 3.38% year on year, the biggest drop among the six special municipalities and Hsinchu County and City.
The direction of Tainan's official statistics is the opposite. Data from the Tainan Actual Price Website show that since April 2026, the city's average residential high-rise price has been higher than a year earlier for 5 consecutive months, with year-on-year growth between 2.23% and 10.7%, staying at a figure starting with 3. The Tainan Housing Price Observatory, which excludes presale transactions and outliers, also shows the average high-rise sale price rising year on year over the past 5 months; Annan and Anping districts have also posted positive growth over the past 4 months, with relatively small fluctuations among the districts.
Zhang Rong, associate director of the Sinyi Realty Tainan Minsheng branch, explained that the Sinyi Housing Price Index covers only existing homes, excluding presale homes and newly completed homes, and that sale prices and volumes for Tainan existing homes have been largely consolidating over the past two years, with weak momentum to push higher. He noted that although the official observatory's data exclude presale homes, they should include newly completed homes, so prices hold up better; he speculated that Annan and Anping, where newly completed homes make up a higher share, have smaller fluctuations for the same reason.
Sinyi Realty experts said that after excluding presale and newly completed homes, existing homes lack upward momentum, but the economy still provides support, and with steady owner-occupier demand every year, the market is mainly consolidating, with room to negotiate generally within 10% and no sharp collapse.
Zhang Rong mentioned that with AI and the tech industry thriving, a good deal of capital has flowed into the stock market, and some of it may return to the housing market later; the number of buildings with ownership transfers nationwide has stayed between 260,000 and 350,000 over the past three years. He believes Tainan's housing market is consolidating rather than collapsing, and that for first-time buyers and those trading up, prices are currently easier to negotiate and there is a wider range of properties to choose from.
First-time buyers and those trading up who are viewing homes in Tainan should first work out whether the figures they have cover only existing homes or also include newly completed homes, as the two may move differently. Zhang Rong said the room to negotiate on existing homes is about 5%~10%, and that price discussions can be made a focus when viewing properties.
Quick quiz
2 questions; pick an answer to see the explanation
- In Q3 2026, which city or county had the largest quarterly drop in existing-home prices in the Sinyi Housing Price Index among the six special municipalities and Hsinchu County and City?
- Zhang Rong said that, excluding a few extreme cases, about how much room is there to negotiate on existing homes in Tainan?
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Original:自由時報 地產天下 · We only post summaries and key points. Read the original for the full story.
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