Cathay Index: Presale Prices Steady, Volume Up; Kaohsiung Sees Steepest Quarterly Drop in Sale Price at 5.64%
In Q3 2026, presale home prices were broadly steady and sales volume rose, but trends varied across cities, with Kaohsiung posting the largest decline and New Taipei and Hsinchu County and City seeing sharp drops in sales volume.
- Cathay Construction's Q3 2026 real estate index shows presale home prices held steady and sales volume rose nationwide.
- In Kaohsiung, the probable sale price for presale homes was NT$0.3782 million per ping, down 5.64% quarter on quarter, the largest decline among all cities.
- New Taipei's sales volume fell 41.51% quarter on quarter, Hsinchu County and City's fell 49.99%, and Taichung's fell 35.19%.
On prices, the nationwide probable sale price was NT$0.5817 million per ping, up 0.65% quarter on quarter. Only two cities rose by more than 5%: Taoyuan at NT$0.4872 million per ping, up 5.15%, and Taichung at NT$0.5232 million per ping, up 5.13%.
Taipei was at NT$1.4023 million per ping, up 1.17% quarter on quarter, and Hsinchu County and City was at NT$0.6457 million per ping, up 1.20%. New Taipei was at NT$0.6817 million per ping, down 2.01%, and Tainan was at NT$0.3645 million per ping, down 1.58%. Kaohsiung's probable sale price fell 5.64% quarter on quarter, the largest drop among the major cities.
On sales volume, the nationwide sales volume index was 31.18, up 17.42% quarter on quarter. Tainan rose 195.39%, Taipei rose 160.72%, Kaohsiung rose 82.53%, and Taoyuan rose 46.49%. New Taipei, Hsinchu County and City, and Taichung all recorded quarterly declines.
New Taipei's 30-day sales rate this quarter was only 3.72%, with sales volume 25% lower than the same quarter last year and the value of newly launched projects nearly 40% higher than the same quarter last year. Compared with the previous quarter, both prices and volume fell in New Taipei; compared with the same quarter last year, prices held steady while volume shrank. The nationwide overall sales rate was 5.62%, still at a low for the past year.
On the supply side, 160 new projects were launched nationwide this quarter, totaling 15,949 units, with a total launch value of NT$382.9 billion and a main total price of NT$25.27 million; high-rise buildings accounted for 88%. In September, the Central Bank raised the loan-to-value ratio for second-home purchase loans, while interest rates were left unchanged. Cathay Financial Holdings said the looser loan-to-value ratio for second homes could help revive demand from home upgraders and transaction volume; however, credit controls and supply pressure remain, so home prices will keep consolidating in the short term, with performance varying by district.
People looking to buy presale homes should note that trends differ across cities: probable sale prices fell quarter on quarter in Kaohsiung, New Taipei, and Tainan, while Taoyuan and Taichung rose by more than 5%. For those planning to upgrade or buy a second home, the Central Bank raised the loan-to-value ratio for second-home purchase loans in September, and they can ask their banks about the conditions that apply to them. For those who already have a mortgage, the Central Bank decided this time to leave interest rates unchanged.
Loan-to-value calculator
- Loan amount
- 1,400 × NT$10K
- Down payment
- 600 × NT$10K
- Monthly payment
- NT$54,023
- Total interest
- 545 × NT$10K
The default rate of 2.321% is the central bank’s published August average rate on new mortgages at the five major banks. Equal monthly payments, no grace period; the bank’s approval is final.
Quick quiz
2 questions; pick an answer to see the explanation
- In Q3 2026, which city had the largest quarterly decline in the probable sale price of presale homes?
- In Q3 2026, what was New Taipei's 30-day sales rate?
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Original:鉅亨網 · We only post summaries and key points. Read the original for the full story.
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